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Red50
453320.1
616723.5
Blue115
857537.1
128730.0
12939.0
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497302040608010012050115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+49
Endgame+59
Fouls+65
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +51
6Coral scored#18
22Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
32Total teleop83
Reef
3L4#6
1L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points6
50Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6167
#19
23.50.8
15.414.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
blue by 13.5
37.14.1
28.232.3
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
Second
4533
#25
20.10.8
17.116.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.4
End3.1
blue by 10.0
30.04.1
23.727.9
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
Third
5.20.8
9.78.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 3.8
1293
#27
9.04.1
6.810.9
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned