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Red51
408311.1
110222.0
348915.3
Blue69
93157.5
34223.6
1036721.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524102060805169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+16
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +10
6Coral scored#12
23Coral points43
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
41Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
51Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#12
22.00.5
22.623.1
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
blue by 1.6
342
#10
23.63.3
14.818.1
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Second
3489
#35
15.30.5
16.216.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
blue by 6.4
21.73.3
16.219.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
4083
#28
11.10.5
7.37.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
red by 3.6
9315
#26
7.53.3
8.211.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed