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Red95
34342.0
696113.0
349024.9
Blue32
13198.3
1059912.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70270204060801001209532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+31Teleop
+51Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
22Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
35Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#5
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
12Foul points0
95Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#1
42.02.1
30.932.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
red by 29.8
12.30.2
10.910.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Second
3490
#13
24.92.1
14.816.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
red by 16.6
1319
#29
8.30.2
9.08.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
Third
6961
#18
13.02.1
12.814.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
red by 4.7
8.20.2
8.88.6
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed