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Red14
Blue11
636613.3
15392.7
957117.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26460204060801001411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#1
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
14Total score11

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.21.4
7.76.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 8.8
17.03.1
16.813.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
3976
#32
6.81.4
7.66.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 6.5
6366
#22
13.33.1
16.313.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
Third
5.21.4
8.97.5
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End0.8
red by 2.5
1539
#33
2.73.1
5.82.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed