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Red94
616723.5
857537.1
34223.6
Blue81
128730.0
28131.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78690501001509481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
68Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#4
6L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
94Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.13.2
32.335.5
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 5.5
281
#5
31.51.9
25.127.0
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
Second
342
#10
23.63.2
18.121.3
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
blue by 6.4
30.01.9
27.929.8
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
Third
6167
#19
23.53.2
14.617.8
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
red by 16.4
7.11.9
5.87.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed