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Red61
813712.8
1036721.7
486416.5
Blue59
281520.7
453320.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544402060801006159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points7
15Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
42Total teleop43
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
61Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.5
19.520.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
red by 0.9
2815
#17
20.70.8
14.615.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Second
16.50.5
17.718.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.1
blue by 3.6
4533
#25
20.10.8
16.317.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.4
End3.1
Third
8137
#15
12.80.5
8.69.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
red by 4.5
8.20.8
8.69.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed