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Qual 382025 FSC District Hartsville Event
Red81
445150.8
105919.5
39766.8
Blue98
34342.0
408311.1
496731.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66792040601001201408198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+9
Endgame+11
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
14Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
57Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points12
81Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#2
50.81.5
43.6→45.1
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
red by 8.7
343
#1
42.01.4
32.9→34.4
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
Second
10591
#30
9.51.5
8.9→10.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
blue by 22.2
4967
#4
31.71.4
29.2→30.7
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Third
3976
#32
6.81.5
6.3→7.8
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 4.3
4083
#28
11.11.4
7.9→9.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed