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Red18
70858.9
105119.5
Blue33
1059912.3
175813.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393202060801833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +17
1Coral scored#3
5Coral points12
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
5Total teleop22
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points6
18Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
#16
19.51.7
18.717.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.7
red by 5.6
1758
#11
13.90.1
10.610.6
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Second
7085
#24
8.91.7
7.15.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End2.9
blue by 3.4
12.30.1
10.710.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Third
5.21.7
7.55.8
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 3.0
8.20.1
6.46.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed