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Red26
28131.5
636613.3
Blue14
175813.9
408311.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8759020401001201401602614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+14Teleop
+18Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave0
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +8
4Coral scored#2
16Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
16Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#2
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points6
26Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#5
31.56.0
26.921.0
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
red by 17.6
1758
#11
13.95.7
18.512.8
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Second
6366
#22
13.36.0
28.922.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
red by 2.2
4083
#28
11.15.7
17.812.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
Third
10361
#34DQ
8.21.9
9.911.8
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
red by 3.0
5.21.8
10.312.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned