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Red32
696113.0
957117.0
13198.3
Blue14
15392.7
93157.5
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4420060803214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
3Coral scored#2
10Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
16Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
32Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.6
13.713.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 9.6
9315
#26
7.50.9
11.510.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Second
6961
#18DQ
13.00.6
14.914.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
red by 5.9
7.10.8
7.76.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.4
Third
1319
#29
8.30.6
8.88.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
red by 5.6
1539
#33
2.70.9
2.71.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed