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Red53
616723.5
1036721.7
Blue82
39766.8
28131.5
281520.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505902040801001205382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+39
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#15
22Coral points54
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
30Total teleop68
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
53Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6167
#19
23.50.6
17.817.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
blue by 8.0
281
#5
31.52.1
27.029.0
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
Second
21.70.6
20.119.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
red by 0.9
2815
#17
20.72.1
15.417.5
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Third
8.20.6
6.35.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
red by 1.4
3976
#32
6.82.1
7.89.8
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed