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Red52
496731.7
110222.0
128730.0
Blue44
175813.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101250501505244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+22Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
39Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
4L3#0
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
2Foul points16
52Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.73.6
30.727.1
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
red by 17.8
1758
#11
13.90.2
10.610.3
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Second
30.03.6
29.826.2
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
red by 20.5
9.50.2
10.410.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
Third
1102
#12
22.03.6
24.020.4
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
red by 13.8
8.20.2
9.49.2
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned