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Red57
34223.6
13198.3
349024.9
Blue110
408311.1
445150.8
513016.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45830206010012014057110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+51
Endgame+49
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
12Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +46
7Coral scored#18
25Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
39Total teleop85
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#4
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
11Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points4
57Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#13
24.90.0
15.915.8
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
blue by 25.9
50.82.3
45.147.4
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
Second
342
#10
23.60.0
21.321.3
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 6.7
5130
#21
16.92.3
15.617.9
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End1.8
Third
1319
#29
8.30.0
8.28.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
blue by 2.8
4083
#28
11.12.3
9.311.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed