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Red24
70858.9
636613.3
93157.5
Blue55
34342.0
105119.5
12939.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287702040601001201402455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +18
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
12Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points0
24Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#22
13.31.7
14.112.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
blue by 28.7
343
#1
42.01.8
34.432.6
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
Second
7085
#24
8.91.7
5.43.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End2.9
blue by 10.6
1051
#16
19.51.8
17.015.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Third
9315
#26
7.51.7
10.69.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 1.6
1293
#27
9.01.8
11.810.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed