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Red23
12939.0
39766.8
Blue52
1036721.7
513016.9
110222.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27710204060801001202352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
8Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points6
23Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1293
#27
9.00.6
10.09.4
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 13.0
1102
#12
22.01.4
20.419.0
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
Second
7.10.6
6.96.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.4
blue by 14.5
21.71.4
19.518.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
3976
#32
6.80.6
9.89.2
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 10.1
5130
#21
16.91.4
17.916.5
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
5%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed