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Red78
957117.0
105119.5
281520.7
Blue27
813712.8
70858.9
88%Model gave it12%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5825040801001207827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+37Teleop
+35Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
7Coral scored#3
26Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
38Total teleop12
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
16Foul points0
78Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#17
20.71.5
17.519.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 7.9
8137
#15
12.80.5
8.79.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Second
1051
#16
19.51.5
15.216.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.7
red by 10.6
7085
#24
8.90.5
3.74.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Third
17.01.5
13.615.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 8.8
8.20.5
9.29.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed