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Red70
28131.5
408311.1
1059912.3
Blue73
175813.9
93157.5
34342.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605940455055657075807073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
52Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points0
70Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#5
31.50.9
29.030.0
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
blue by 10.5
343
#1
42.01.7
32.634.3
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
Second
12.30.9
11.112.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.5
blue by 1.7
1758
#11
13.91.7
10.312.1
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Third
4083
#28
11.10.9
11.612.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
red by 3.6
9315
#26
7.51.7
9.010.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed