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Red49
486416.5
348915.3
128730.0
Blue64
857537.1
636613.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65633040507080901004964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+17
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
35Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points4
49Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.6
26.224.6
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
blue by 7.1
37.10.2
35.235.4
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
Second
16.51.6
18.316.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.1
red by 3.2
6366
#22
13.30.2
12.412.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
Third
3489
#35
15.31.6
15.413.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
red by 5.7
9.50.2
10.110.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned