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Red48
496731.7
12939.0
Blue59
34223.6
696113.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555102040801001201404859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+15Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#3
27Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
31Total teleop15
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
6Foul points32
48Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.4
27.126.7
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
red by 8.1
342
#10
23.61.5
21.319.7
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Second
1293
#27
9.00.4
9.49.0
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
blue by 4.0
6961
#18
13.01.5
13.912.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
Third
8.20.4
9.79.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
red by 0.1
8.21.4
7.96.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned