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Red59
513016.9
28131.5
Blue56
453320.1
957117.0
93157.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655302040801001205956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points27
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
37Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points6
59Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#5
31.50.0
30.029.9
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
red by 11.5
4533
#25
20.10.4
19.319.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.4
End3.1
Second
5130
#21
16.90.0
16.516.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End1.8
blue by 0.1
17.00.4
15.114.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
5.20.0
5.15.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 2.2
9315
#26
7.50.4
10.710.3
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed