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Red58
105119.5
110222.0
39766.8
Blue83
13198.3
128730.0
616723.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5459203040507080905883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#14
29Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
43Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
58Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#12
22.00.6
19.019.6
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
blue by 8.0
30.02.0
24.626.6
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
Second
1051
#16
19.50.6
16.717.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.7
blue by 4.0
6167
#19
23.52.0
17.819.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4
Third
3976
#32
6.80.6
9.29.8
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
blue by 1.5
1319
#29
8.32.0
6.58.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed