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Red75
175813.9
281520.7
34223.6
Blue71
636613.3
34342.0
348915.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56692040801007571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points14
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#7
28Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
38Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
18Foul points0
75Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#10
23.60.1
19.719.8
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
blue by 18.4
343
#1
42.00.4
34.334.7
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
Second
2815
#17
20.70.1
19.019.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 5.5
3489
#35
15.30.4
13.814.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Third
1758
#11
13.90.1
12.112.2
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 0.6
6366
#22
13.30.4
12.713.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed