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Red84
813712.8
496731.7
857537.1
Blue57
1036721.7
349024.9
70858.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8338020601001201408457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+37Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#5
45Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
65Total teleop29
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
84Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.11.1
35.436.6
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 12.2
3490
#13
24.91.5
18.019.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
Second
31.71.1
26.727.8
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
red by 10.0
21.71.5
18.119.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Third
8137
#15
12.81.1
9.210.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
red by 3.9
7085
#24
8.91.5
4.35.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned