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Red16
15392.7
1059912.3
Blue66
486416.5
445150.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178704060801001201401666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+54
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +40
2Coral scored#10
6Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
6Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
16Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.30.6
12.011.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.5
blue by 38.5
50.80.2
45.845.6
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
Second
9.50.6
10.39.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
blue by 7.0
16.50.2
16.716.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.1
Third
1539
#33
2.70.6
0.3-0.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
blue by 4.5
7.10.2
6.36.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed