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Red49
696113.0
12939.0
281520.7
Blue10
39766.8
93157.5
408311.1
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473802060801001204910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+35Teleop
+37Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
5Coral scored#0
19Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
25Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
2Foul points0
49Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2815
#17
20.70.5
19.119.6
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End1.5
red by 9.6
4083
#28
11.12.0
12.510.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
Second
6961
#18
13.00.6
12.312.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
red by 5.5
9315
#26
7.51.9
10.38.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Third
1293
#27
9.00.5
9.09.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.0
End1.9
red by 2.2
3976
#32
6.81.9
9.88.0
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed