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Red46
1036721.7
Blue70
1059912.3
445150.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327502040601001204670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+40
Endgame+36
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +36
3Coral scored#8
10Coral points30
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
14Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
12Foul points0
46Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
19.619.5
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 29.1
50.80.6
45.646.2
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
Second
9.50.1
9.79.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
blue by 2.7
12.30.6
11.412.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.5
Third
7.10.1
6.05.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.4
red by 1.9
5.20.6
5.15.7
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed