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Qual 622025 FSC District Hartsville Event
Red55
34223.6
408311.1
486416.5
Blue47
105119.5
15392.7
813712.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572702040801005547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
49Total teleop27
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
55Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#10
23.60.1
19.8→19.8
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 4.1
1051
#16
19.51.0
17.3→18.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Second
4864
#6
16.50.1
16.5→16.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.1
red by 3.7
8137
#15
12.81.0
10.3→11.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Third
4083
#28
11.10.1
10.5→10.5
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
red by 8.4
1539
#33
2.71.0
-0.3→0.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned