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Red55
513016.9
696113.0
Blue126
34342.0
70858.9
128730.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42820206010012014055126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+61
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +47
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
39Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#5
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
55Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#21
16.90.1
16.416.4
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End1.8
blue by 25.1
343
#1
42.03.5
34.738.2
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
Second
6961
#18
13.00.1
12.912.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.4
End2.1
blue by 17.0
30.03.5
26.630.0
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
Third
8.20.1
9.39.3
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End1.4
blue by 0.7
7085
#24
8.93.5
5.79.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned