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Red98
110222.0
34342.0
Blue72
34223.6
453320.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79482040601001201409872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
17Coral scored#10
62Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
76Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points0
98Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#1
42.01.2
38.239.4
Auto10.7
Teleop26.3
End5.0
red by 18.4
342
#10
23.61.2
19.821.0
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Second
1102
#12
22.01.2
20.421.6
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
red by 2.0
4533
#25
20.11.2
18.019.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.4
End3.1
Third
8.21.2
6.17.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
red by 1.1
7.11.2
5.97.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed