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Red113
957117.0
445150.8
349024.9
Blue72
408311.1
281520.7
857537.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90702040608010012014011372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+25Teleop
+35Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
20Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
73Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points0
113Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.81.9
46.248.1
Auto8.7
Teleop40.6
End1.5
red by 13.7
37.10.5
35.636.0
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
Second
3490
#13
24.91.9
20.322.2
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
red by 4.2
2815
#17
20.70.5
19.620.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End1.5
Third
17.01.9
14.516.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
red by 5.9
4083
#28
11.10.5
10.510.9
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed