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Red71
349024.9
128730.0
Blue88
28131.5
175813.9
957117.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6755204060801007188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+3Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#11
45Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
55Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points30
71Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.8
24.525.3
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
blue by 1.5
281
#5
31.51.0
21.022.0
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
Second
3490
#13
24.90.8
19.119.9
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
red by 7.9
17.01.0
15.116.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
9.50.8
14.114.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
blue by 4.4
1758
#11
13.91.0
12.813.8
Auto1.8
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed