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Red40
110222.0
Blue39
453320.1
496731.7
39766.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58690501001504039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
31Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points8
40Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#12
22.01.6
26.424.8
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
blue by 9.6
31.73.6
28.424.9
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
7.11.6
13.111.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.4
blue by 12.9
4533
#25
20.13.6
21.718.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.4
End3.1
Third
5.21.6
12.110.5
Auto2.9
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 1.6
3976
#32
6.83.6
9.96.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed