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Red73
110222.0
486416.5
Blue52
13198.3
513016.9
1036721.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5155203040607080907352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+25Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
60Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +21
2Foul points2
73Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#12
22.00.4
21.622.1
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
red by 0.4
21.70.0
21.521.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.6
Second
16.50.4
16.116.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.1
blue by 0.4
5130
#21
16.90.0
16.716.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End1.8
Third
9.50.4
9.19.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
red by 1.2
1319
#29
8.30.0
8.18.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End-0.3