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Red85
857537.1
408311.1
128730.0
Blue80
349024.9
616723.5
34223.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93734060801001201401608580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+17Teleop
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points41
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
68Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +5
2Foul points0
85Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.2
36.036.2
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 12.2
3490
#13
24.90.4
22.222.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
Second
30.00.2
29.029.2
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
red by 6.4
342
#10
23.60.4
21.021.3
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Third
4083
#28
11.10.2
10.911.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End0.3
blue by 12.5
6167
#19
23.50.4
20.921.2
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4