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Red86
857537.1
128730.0
Blue86
28131.5
348915.3
496731.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7978506070901001108686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points52
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
69Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#6
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
86Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.10.3
36.236.5
Auto5.6
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 5.4
31.70.2
30.530.7
Auto5.6
Teleop24.7
End1.3
Second
30.00.3
29.229.5
Auto3.6
Teleop24.3
End2.1
blue by 1.5
281
#5
31.50.2
30.330.5
Auto5.1
Teleop24.9
End1.6
Third
8.20.3
7.37.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.1
End1.7
blue by 7.1
3489
#35
15.30.2
14.014.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.2
End0.7