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Red71
110222.0
486416.5
Blue105
349024.9
616723.5
34223.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5485204010012014016071105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
55Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
71Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#12
22.00.2
21.822.0
Auto2.7
Teleop18.6
End0.8
blue by 2.8
3490
#13
24.90.5
23.824.3
Auto4.2
Teleop14.3
End6.5
Second
16.50.2
16.316.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.2
End-0.1
blue by 7.1
342
#10
23.60.5
22.623.0
Auto2.2
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Third
9.50.2
9.39.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.2
blue by 14.0
6167
#19
23.50.5
22.522.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End5.4