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Red176
594094.9
650614.4
84664.7
Blue121
1022119.4
550755.1
879337.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21311250150250300350176121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+51Teleop
+57Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points36
48Total auto39
TeleoperatedRed +42
22Coral scored#12
78Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
114Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#6
12L3#7
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#25
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points2
176Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.90.1
97.397.2
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
red by 39.8
55.10.4
58.058.4
Auto19.7
Teleop26.4
End8.9
Second
846
#9
64.70.1
65.165.0
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
red by 27.1
8793
#23
37.60.4
42.843.2
Auto11.1
Teleop22.5
End4.0
Third
6506
#21
14.40.1
14.814.7
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
blue by 5.0
19.40.5
12.212.7
Auto2.3
Teleop15.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed