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Red73
666222.8
741942.1
415938.8
Blue131
84153.3
550755.1
84664.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1082035015025030073131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+46
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points31
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +39
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points42
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
0Processor points18
8Net points20
8Algae points38
41Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
73Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#16
42.12.6
44.742.1
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
blue by 22.6
846
#9
64.73.4
63.660.2
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
Second
4159
#12
38.82.6
38.235.6
Auto11.0
Teleop26.1
End1.7
blue by 16.3
55.13.4
57.854.4
Auto19.7
Teleop26.4
End8.9
Third
6662
#15Sur
22.82.6
28.425.9
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
blue by 30.5
841
#6Sur
53.33.4
60.757.3
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned