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Red26
1022119.4
766B9.8
Blue98
281353.3
19922.7
900123.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241220501001502002698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+68
Endgame+66
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +61
2Coral scored#14
6Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
10Total teleop71
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
6Foul points12
26Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10221
#24Sur
19.41.2
9.07.8
Auto2.3
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 33.9
53.31.0
57.056.1
Auto6.8
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Second
766B
#26
9.81.7
19.417.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 13.6
9001
#19
23.41.6
19.918.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.2
Third
5.61.0
7.36.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 17.1
199
#20
22.71.0
23.322.4
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned