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Red103
592423.6
696239.6
724512.3
Blue63
76645.4
766728.9
650614.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7610705015010363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
71Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#4
7L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
12Foul points6
103Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6962
#11
39.60.8
37.137.9
Auto9.1
Teleop28.4
End2.1
blue by 5.8
766
#13
45.42.6
46.443.8
Auto7.7
Teleop30.7
End7.1
Second
5924
#14
23.60.8
26.327.1
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 5.3
7667
#27
28.92.6
30.027.3
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Third
7245
#22
12.30.8
6.37.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
blue by 2.1
6506
#21
14.42.6
14.111.5
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed