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Red116
623844.1
879337.6
281353.3
Blue203
58188.5
60492.3
550755.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15623950100200300116203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+41
Teleop+103
Endgame+89
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +41
6Leave3
4Coral scored#13
22Coral points66
28Total auto69
TeleoperatedBlue +62
13Coral scored#24
46Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
66Total teleop128
Reef
8L4#13
3L3#10
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#7
21Game pieces#46
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
2Foul points0
116Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.32.9
56.153.2
Auto6.8
Teleop36.6
End9.8
blue by 39.0
604
#3
92.31.3
89.388.1
Auto24.5
Teleop59.5
End8.3
Second
6238
#17
44.12.9
57.354.4
Auto6.4
Teleop28.6
End9.0
blue by 44.4
581
#2
88.51.3
78.276.9
Auto18.9
Teleop59.6
End10.0
Third
8793
#23
37.62.9
43.941.0
Auto11.1
Teleop22.5
End4.0
blue by 17.5
55.11.3
54.453.1
Auto19.7
Teleop26.4
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsMissed