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Red111
19922.7
594094.9
Blue116
592423.6
650614.4
84153.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154100050200111116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
12Processor points12
28Net points8
40Algae points20
82Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
6Cage & park18
6Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points12
111Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.91.0
94.893.8
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
red by 41.6
841
#6
53.30.4
57.357.6
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.5
Second
199
#20
22.71.0
22.421.3
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.8
blue by 0.8
5924
#14
23.60.4
27.127.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Third
5.61.0
6.35.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 8.8
6506
#21
14.40.4
11.511.9
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned