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Red75
666222.8
900123.4
76645.4
Blue46
11534.6
947044.9
650614.4
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102103507080901107546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+25Teleop
+17Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points1
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#3
34Coral points12
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
48Total teleop22
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
12Foul points0
75Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#13
45.42.0
43.541.5
Auto7.7
Teleop30.7
End7.1
red by 0.6
9470
#10
44.93.3
49.646.3
Auto12.1
Teleop29.7
End3.1
Second
9001
#19
23.43.4
24.220.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.2
blue by 11.2
115
#25
34.63.3
34.831.4
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End4.1
Third
6662
#15
22.82.0
25.923.8
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
red by 8.4
6506
#21
14.43.3
11.98.5
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned