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Red203
1022119.4
60492.3
594094.9
Blue121
84664.7
19922.7
198331.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219105050150200250300203121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+60Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave0
10Coral scored#8
49Coral points40
55Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +45
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points59
3Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
18Processor points6
36Net points12
54Algae points18
122Total teleop77
Reef
13L4#10
8L3#8
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#28
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
203Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
94.90.7
93.894.5
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
red by 30.2
846
#9
64.70.7
62.563.2
Auto15.3
Teleop41.9
End7.5
Second
604
#3
92.30.7
88.188.8
Auto24.5
Teleop59.5
End8.3
red by 60.6
1983
#18
31.70.7
23.824.5
Auto6.6
Teleop25.4
End-0.3
Third
19.40.7
7.68.3
Auto2.3
Teleop15.7
End1.4
blue by 3.3
199
#20
22.70.7
21.322.1
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed