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Red115
550755.1
741942.1
766B9.8
Blue87
11534.6
724512.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1433205010020025011587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave0
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points9
37Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
62Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points12
115Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.2
53.152.9
Auto19.7
Teleop26.4
End8.9
red by 20.5
115
#25
34.62.1
31.433.5
Auto5.6
Teleop24.8
End4.1
Second
7419
#16
42.10.2
41.941.6
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
red by 29.8
7245
#22
12.32.1
6.48.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Third
766B
#26
9.80.4
23.523.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.9
red by 4.2
5.62.1
5.27.4
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed