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Red129
84153.3
666222.8
641850.1
Blue109
766728.9
604B61.5
592423.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141111050100200129109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+2
+8Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points38
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +15
18Coral scored#12
64Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
76Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#6
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
12Foul points0
129Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#6
53.30.8
57.656.8
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.5
blue by 8.2
61.50.2
52.052.2
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
Second
50.10.8
47.746.9
Auto14.8
Teleop28.9
End6.3
red by 21.2
7667
#27
28.90.1
27.327.5
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End0.3
Third
6662
#15
22.80.8
23.823.0
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
blue by 0.8
5924
#14
23.60.1
27.527.6
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed