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Red66
623844.1
947044.9
Blue155
76645.4
594094.9
415938.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10619905015025066155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+87
Endgame+95
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +29
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points32
12Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +58
6Coral scored#14
22Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
32Total teleop90
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
6Foul points0
66Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9470
#10
44.93.2
46.343.1
Auto12.1
Teleop29.7
End3.1
blue by 50.0
94.91.2
94.593.3
Auto23.5
Teleop61.0
End10.4
Second
6238
#17
44.13.2
54.451.2
Auto6.4
Teleop28.6
End9.0
blue by 1.4
766
#13
45.41.2
41.540.3
Auto7.7
Teleop30.7
End7.1
Third
5.63.2
7.44.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 33.2
4159
#12
38.81.2
36.635.4
Auto11.0
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned