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Red76
650614.4
285426.0
900123.4
Blue95
724512.3
84153.3
281353.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4914301002007695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+5Teleop
Endgame+13
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points18
13Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +16
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
57Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points6
76Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2854
#28
26.01.4
26.227.6
Auto4.8
Teleop19.1
End2.1
blue by 27.3
841
#6
53.31.9
56.855.0
Auto11.9
Teleop33.9
End7.5
Second
9001
#19
23.42.3
20.823.1
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.2
blue by 29.9
53.31.9
51.649.7
Auto6.8
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Third
6506
#21
14.41.4
8.59.9
Auto2.2
Teleop9.5
End2.7
red by 2.1
7245
#22
12.31.9
8.66.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned