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Qual 282025 Sunset Showdown
Red98
766728.9
550755.1
19922.7
Blue169
741942.1
198331.7
58188.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10216005020025098169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+75
Endgame+73
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
7Coral scored#10
34Coral points48
37Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +64
8Coral scored#15
29Coral points55
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
0Processor points18
8Net points28
8Algae points46
37Total teleop101
Reef
4L4#12
5L3#5
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
8Foul points6
98Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5507
#5
55.10.8
52.9→52.1
Auto19.7
Teleop26.4
End8.9
blue by 33.4
581
#2
88.51.3
77.5→78.8
Auto18.9
Teleop59.6
End10.0
Second
7667
#27
28.90.8
27.5→26.6
Auto5.8
Teleop22.8
End0.3
blue by 13.2
7419
#16
42.11.3
41.6→42.9
Auto12.2
Teleop29.5
End0.4
Third
199
#20
22.70.8
22.1→21.2
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End-0.8
blue by 8.9
1983
#18
31.71.3
24.5→25.8
Auto6.6
Teleop25.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned