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Red131
60492.3
666222.8
696239.6
Blue69
592423.6
879337.6
766B9.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1778405010015020025013169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+56Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points26
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +38
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
71Total teleop33
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
131Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#3
92.31.5
88.887.3
Auto24.5
Teleop59.5
End8.3
red by 54.7
8793
#23
37.61.4
39.938.4
Auto11.1
Teleop22.5
End4.0
Second
6962
#11
39.61.5
41.239.7
Auto9.1
Teleop28.4
End2.1
red by 16.0
5924
#14
23.61.4
27.626.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Third
6662
#15
22.81.5
23.021.6
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
red by 13.0
766B
#26
9.82.4
23.120.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed